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Red65
743325.2
533316.6
545123.8
Blue52
461326.1
71298.0
759316.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63512030407080906552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.4
22.623.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End8.6
blue by 0.8
26.10.2
24.925.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End8.6
Second
23.80.4
23.523.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End7.5
red by 7.7
7593
#35
16.10.2
14.915.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Third
5333
#26
16.60.6
13.614.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End2.6
red by 8.5
7129
#55
8.00.4
8.69.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed