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Red40
47298.6
453715.5
75889.8
Blue49
788411.7
783813.4
630425.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34431020305060704049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#47
15.50.6
14.915.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 9.8
6304
#11
25.20.9
18.919.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Second
7588
#39
9.80.6
7.48.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.5
blue by 3.7
7838
#29
13.40.9
11.912.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End2.5
Third
4729
#62
8.60.6
9.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 3.1
7884
#48
11.70.9
10.010.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed