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Red45
552211.4
657920.1
643210.1
Blue48
608319.8
647614.6
778014.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454825303540505560654548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
#27
20.10.1
18.118.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End3.2
red by 0.3
6083
#25
19.80.2
19.319.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Second
5522
#52
11.40.1
13.413.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 3.2
6476
#33
14.60.3
11.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Third
6432
#20
10.10.1
11.411.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.5
blue by 3.9
7780
#17
14.10.3
14.314.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed