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Red54
606313.3
743325.2
566318.8
Blue43
598527.2
77077.8
598811.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505044464852545443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
21.522.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End8.6
blue by 2.0
27.20.3
25.725.4
Auto5.9
Teleop14.2
End7.2
Second
5663
#16
18.80.7
14.715.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.3
red by 7.6
5988
#24
11.10.5
11.911.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End4.8
Third
6063
#32
13.30.7
11.312.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End3.1
red by 5.6
7707
#44
7.81.8
7.89.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned