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Red58
698623.2
608319.8
75868.3
Blue9
681315.4
65248.9
64414.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53390206080100589

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
22.422.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End8.7
red by 7.8
6813
#41
15.43.4
13.29.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.5
Second
6083
#25
19.80.1
18.118.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.9
red by 10.9
6524
#60
8.93.4
11.98.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Third
7586
#51
8.31.9
8.310.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 4.1
6441
#57
4.23.4
11.48.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed