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Red74
427018.1
461326.1
704717.5
Blue86
313223.9
608319.8
566318.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58623040507080907486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.2
25.526.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End8.6
red by 2.2
23.90.5
22.422.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
4270
#12
18.12.1
15.317.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End4.7
blue by 1.7
6083
#25
19.80.5
18.919.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Third
7047
#43
17.52.1
14.516.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 1.2
5663
#16
18.80.8
17.518.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsEarned