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Red52
75868.3
652015.2
657920.1
Blue59
699716.8
707416.1
533316.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060705259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
#27
20.10.4
18.318.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.5
End3.2
red by 3.3
6997
#28
16.80.3
14.814.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End3.3
Second
6520
#34
15.20.4
14.815.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 1.3
5333
#26
16.60.3
15.515.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End2.6
Third
7586
#51
8.30.7
6.97.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
blue by 7.8
7074
#19
16.10.3
13.913.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed