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Red49
9967.8
99113.9
247827.0
Blue12
38539.3
665612.4
721412.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840203050604912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.7
15.516.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End6.5
red by 14.3
7214
#14
12.72.9
12.29.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Second
991
#43
13.90.7
11.011.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
red by 1.6
6656
#23
12.42.9
12.59.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Third
996
#40
7.80.7
9.810.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 1.5
3853
#39
9.32.9
13.510.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed