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Red41
505915.7
682417.5
318712.7
Blue46
667411.7
406325.2
51336.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4842203060704146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6824
#13
17.50.5
17.216.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.9
blue by 7.8
25.20.4
22.623.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End10.1
Second
5059
#25
15.70.3
14.013.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 3.9
6674
#16
11.70.7
9.410.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Third
3187
#41
12.70.5
13.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
red by 6.2
5133
#46
6.50.5
7.68.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsEarned