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Red40
49818.6
61278.8
182813.8
Blue51
68722.2
162216.7
248618.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454902060801001204051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#24
18.61.0
19.618.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 3.7
687
#15
22.20.5
14.214.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End3.6
Second
1828
#53
13.81.4
11.710.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 4.5
18.30.5
16.116.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.8
Third
6127
#36
8.81.4
11.29.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 7.9
1622
#50
16.70.3
16.516.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed