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Red31
505915.7
789711.3
301912.1
Blue12
567813.5
414614.1
64135.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40420102030506070803112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5059
#25
15.70.4
14.013.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 1.6
4146
#27
14.13.1
14.411.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End2.5
Second
3019
#20
12.10.7
13.612.9
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End2.9
blue by 1.4
5678
#47
13.53.1
11.98.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
7897
#30
11.31.9
11.39.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
red by 6.1
6413
#49
5.23.1
13.410.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed