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Red40
742411.3
10119.6
647418.2
Blue15
61278.8
64135.2
240320.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373201020506070804015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#31
18.20.3
15.315.6
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End3.1
blue by 2.6
2403
#19
20.82.7
14.611.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.1
Second
7424
#29
11.30.3
4.85.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 2.6
6127
#36
8.82.7
9.06.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
1011
#48
9.60.3
14.714.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 4.4
6413
#49
5.22.7
7.14.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed