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Red34
75478.6
65468.1
682417.5
Blue51
742624.5
721412.7
542914.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3648102030406070803451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6824
#13
17.50.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.9
blue by 7.0
7426
#10
24.50.4
19.219.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End3.6
Second
7547
#44
8.60.0
6.06.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 6.3
5429
#26
14.90.6
15.716.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
6546
#42
8.10.0
11.611.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 4.5
7214
#14
12.70.6
10.811.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed