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Red43
68722.2
682110.7
789711.3
Blue70
549615.7
667411.7
113821.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394220305060704370

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#15
22.20.6
19.118.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End3.6
red by 0.7
1138
#12
21.61.7
15.116.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End5.8
Second
7897
#30
11.30.6
7.46.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 4.4
5496
#22
15.71.7
14.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Third
6821
#45
10.70.6
10.29.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End2.0
blue by 1.0
6674
#16
11.71.7
9.911.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned