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Red46
318712.7
300919.2
687115.5
Blue22
182813.8
682110.7
692211.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493310204060704622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#38
19.20.1
18.118.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
red by 5.4
1828
#53
13.81.0
9.68.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End1.9
Second
6871
#21
15.50.1
14.914.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 4.3
6922
#37
11.21.0
12.211.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Third
3187
#41
12.70.1
13.413.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
red by 2.0
6821
#45
10.71.0
9.68.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed