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Red20
789711.3
9967.8
189114.6
Blue36
301912.1
49818.6
742411.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33381020304050602036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#17
14.61.3
14.413.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 4.0
498
#24
18.60.2
19.018.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Second
7897
#30
11.31.3
6.85.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 0.8
3019
#20
12.10.3
10.09.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Third
996
#40
7.81.3
10.18.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.7
blue by 3.5
7424
#29
11.30.3
6.56.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed