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Red56
406325.2
65468.1
172625.0
Blue42
189114.6
284010.9
682110.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59322040805642

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.0
25.125.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End10.1
red by 10.6
1891
#17
14.61.2
11.712.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Second
25.00.0
20.520.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End6.9
red by 14.2
2840
#51
10.91.2
9.710.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Third
6546
#42
8.10.0
10.010.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End2.6
blue by 2.6
6821
#45
10.71.2
9.010.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed