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Red31
665612.4
61278.8
75478.6
Blue24
55398.1
318712.7
313311.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3238010205060703124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6656
#23
12.40.2
12.712.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 0.4
3187
#41
12.71.2
12.511.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
Second
6127
#36
8.80.2
8.78.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 3.0
3133
#34
11.81.1
12.511.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Third
7547
#44
8.60.2
8.78.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.2
red by 0.5
5539
#35
8.11.2
10.89.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed