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Red45
721412.7
505915.7
323021.2
Blue33
38539.3
300919.2
10119.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202060804533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.8
20.719.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End8.8
red by 2.0
3009
#38
19.20.6
18.417.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
5059
#25
15.70.5
16.616.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 6.1
1011
#48
9.60.6
11.510.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
7214
#14
12.70.8
12.812.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 3.4
3853
#39
9.30.6
9.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed