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Red53
301912.1
313311.8
418325.3
Blue83
682417.5
68722.2
687115.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50542030406070805383

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
24.825.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End9.3
red by 3.1
687
#15
22.21.2
20.721.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End3.6
Second
3019
#20
12.10.5
11.612.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End2.9
blue by 5.4
6824
#13
17.51.2
16.617.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.9
Third
3133
#34
11.80.5
11.411.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 3.6
6871
#21
15.51.2
14.315.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed