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Red64
406325.2
113821.6
38539.3
Blue54
647418.2
692211.2
300919.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58482030407080906454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End10.1
red by 6.0
3009
#38
19.20.8
17.818.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
1138
#12
21.60.3
21.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End5.8
red by 3.3
6474
#31
18.20.8
17.017.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Third
3853
#39
9.30.3
9.09.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 1.9
6922
#37
11.20.8
10.411.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed