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Red45
318712.7
116511.2
721412.7
Blue76
172625.0
162216.7
789711.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3649102030406070804576

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3187
#41
12.71.0
11.712.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End3.5
blue by 12.3
25.01.4
22.724.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End6.9
Second
7214
#14
12.71.0
12.013.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.0
blue by 4.1
1622
#50
16.71.0
15.816.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Third
1165
#52
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End3.0
blue by 0.1
7897
#30
11.31.3
8.39.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed