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Red50
166222.5
647922.1
394416.4
Blue23
385310.3
665613.6
28449.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060801005023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.3
17.017.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End6.6
red by 8.8
6656
#20
13.61.3
12.411.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Second
22.10.4
13.513.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
red by 11.7
3853
#35
10.31.3
9.38.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End0.6
Third
3944
#31
16.40.4
13.013.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 6.7
2844
#32
9.71.8
11.39.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed