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Red49
264714.2
683319.3
721413.1
Blue40
44969.9
653012.5
418326.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395402060804940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#13
19.30.8
12.913.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 7.4
26.71.1
25.324.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End8.5
Second
2647
#30
14.20.9
11.812.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 1.7
6530
#36
12.51.6
13.712.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Third
7214
#29
13.10.9
12.713.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
red by 3.2
4496
#38
9.91.6
12.310.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsMissed