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Red20
64133.9
16336.4
35779.5
Blue51
701713.0
116514.6
49823.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27440102040506070802051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3577
#33
9.50.4
9.08.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End3.1
blue by 13.6
498
#14
23.10.4
18.619.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Second
1633
#41
6.40.6
11.210.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 8.2
1165
#23
14.60.5
11.211.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
6413
#42
3.90.4
5.24.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
blue by 9.1
7017
#16
13.00.7
11.812.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed