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Red45
414616.7
64133.9
264714.2
Blue75
313313.2
247835.4
762025.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356402040801004575

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#25
16.70.7
15.416.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
blue by 18.7
35.41.0
27.728.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.0
End8.6
Second
2647
#30
14.20.6
12.713.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
blue by 11.1
25.31.0
22.323.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Third
6413
#42
3.90.7
4.75.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
blue by 9.3
3133
#26
13.21.0
11.012.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned