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Red31
266217.4
54658.0
385310.3
Blue50
456525.1
244915.6
318715.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375202060803150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2662
#24
17.41.5
14.413.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 7.8
4565
#18
25.10.0
24.424.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End3.8
Second
3853
#35
10.31.0
8.07.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 5.2
2449
#12
15.60.1
12.212.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Third
5465
#40
8.01.5
12.711.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 7.1
3187
#21
15.00.0
12.712.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed