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Red44
683319.3
129010.6
301920.2
Blue35
284015.3
394416.4
116514.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060704435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.5
12.412.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End3.5
red by 3.9
3944
#31
16.40.4
13.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
6833
#13
19.30.4
13.714.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End4.1
red by 4.0
2840
#11
15.30.3
10.510.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Third
1290
#22
10.60.7
11.312.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.4
blue by 4.0
1165
#23
14.60.3
11.711.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed