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Red50
16336.4
394416.4
762025.3
Blue72
240325.8
266217.4
388913.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474430405060705072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.4
23.123.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
blue by 0.5
25.81.8
22.524.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End6.6
Second
3944
#31
16.40.6
13.213.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 1.0
2662
#24
17.43.0
10.813.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
1633
#41
6.40.6
8.49.0
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 7.3
3889
#27
13.73.0
8.611.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned