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Red40
129010.6
116514.6
754710.9
Blue39
770318.0
44969.9
721413.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313602060804039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#23
14.60.7
12.112.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 3.4
7703
#37
18.00.5
12.012.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End3.1
Second
7547
#17
10.90.7
8.39.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.6
blue by 2.2
7214
#29
13.10.3
13.613.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Third
1290
#22
10.61.2
9.010.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.7
4496
#38
9.90.5
8.99.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed