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Red14
313313.2
69810.6
16336.4
Blue23
35779.5
129010.6
54658.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323010204050601423

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3133
#26
13.21.1
13.212.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End2.5
red by 2.6
1290
#22
10.60.6
11.611.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Second
698
#39
10.61.8
9.57.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 1.2
3577
#33
9.50.4
7.67.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Third
1633
#41
6.41.7
7.96.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 1.6
5465
#40
8.00.6
9.69.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed