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Red64
665613.6
418326.7
635219.9
Blue41
414616.7
318715.0
388913.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574410203040507080906441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.7
24.325.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End8.5
red by 10.0
4146
#25
16.70.0
15.815.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.6
Second
19.91.1
17.218.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 4.9
3187
#21
15.00.0
14.214.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End3.6
Third
6656
#20
13.60.7
12.212.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.4
blue by 0.1
3889
#27
13.70.1
11.711.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed