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Red51
775514.0
385310.3
149219.0
Blue72
301920.2
284015.3
762025.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953102030607080905172

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#19
19.01.5
16.918.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.9
blue by 6.4
25.31.3
22.623.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Second
7755
#10
14.01.5
12.013.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End5.1
blue by 6.2
20.21.3
15.416.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Third
3853
#35
10.30.9
8.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 5.0
2840
#11
15.31.3
12.213.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned