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Red72
166222.5
301920.2
266217.4
Blue29
721413.1
637213.2
35779.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533920306070807229

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.5
19.420.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End6.6
red by 9.3
6372
#34
13.20.8
13.813.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Second
20.21.5
16.618.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End3.5
red by 7.1
7214
#29
13.10.5
14.914.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Third
2662
#24
17.42.3
14.016.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 7.9
3577
#33
9.50.5
8.17.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed