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Red46
28449.7
647922.1
701713.0
Blue108
418326.7
247835.4
116514.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427520608010046108

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.7
17.117.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.6
End6.9
blue by 13.3
35.40.7
33.133.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.0
End8.6
Second
7017
#16
13.00.7
11.612.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
blue by 13.6
26.70.7
24.625.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.0
End8.5
Third
2844
#32
9.70.7
10.811.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End3.0
blue by 4.9
1165
#23
14.60.7
13.113.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned