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Red11
248621.4
41112.5
172624.3
Blue52
683317.2
456522.0
49816.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566001001502001152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.8
25.222.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 2.4
4565
#12
22.00.8
23.022.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Second
21.42.8
22.019.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.4
red by 4.3
6833
#14
17.20.8
17.216.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Third
4111
#28
2.52.8
5.62.8
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.5
End1.3
blue by 14.3
498
#15
16.80.8
17.116.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed