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Red50
240328.5
35779.3
75479.2
Blue35
665614.7
237511.7
301915.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46462030405060705035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
26.727.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.4
End8.6
red by 13.2
3019
#27
15.30.8
17.817.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Second
3577
#19
9.30.3
8.08.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End2.3
blue by 5.4
6656
#13
14.70.8
13.712.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
9.20.3
8.28.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.6
End3.8
blue by 2.5
2375
#17
11.70.8
12.912.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed