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Red72
762021.8
78977.7
247835.1
Blue75
84227.8
149219.2
388911.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65603040507080901007275

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.5
34.635.1
Auto5.4
Teleop21.9
End7.8
red by 7.3
842
#5
27.81.2
27.028.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End5.0
Second
7620
#11
21.80.5
20.420.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End6.0
red by 2.6
1492
#16
19.21.2
18.920.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Third
7897
#29
7.70.5
6.57.0
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 4.2
3889
#24
11.91.2
11.312.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed