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Red41
41112.5
149219.2
456522.0
Blue89
84227.8
240328.5
237511.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001201404189

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#12
22.00.3
22.222.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 6.5
28.51.5
27.028.4
Auto4.5
Teleop15.4
End8.6
Second
1492
#16
19.20.3
20.019.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
blue by 8.6
842
#5
27.81.5
28.229.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End5.0
Third
4111
#28
2.50.3
2.82.5
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.5
End1.3
blue by 9.1
2375
#17
11.71.5
12.113.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed27%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsEarned