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Red58
647925.3
78977.7
121216.0
Blue66
762021.8
248621.4
687113.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505501001502005866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.7
25.225.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End7.9
red by 3.5
7620
#11
21.80.9
20.921.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End6.0
Second
1212
#20
16.00.7
15.316.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 5.4
21.40.9
19.220.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Third
7897
#29
7.70.7
7.07.7
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 5.3
6871
#21
13.00.9
12.113.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsEarned