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Red61
35930.9
243814.7
511811.7
Blue45
212217.7
433422.8
462718.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50504648525456586145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
30.90.5
24.725.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End9.2
red by 8.1
22.80.3
17.917.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Second
2438
#23
14.70.8
11.212.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End5.4
blue by 4.2
4627
#25
18.90.3
12.712.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
Third
5118
#13
11.70.8
11.512.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 6.0
2122
#24
17.70.3
17.316.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed