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Red54
717016.6
716920.9
24449.7
Blue24
719015.6
55978.2
715814.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44372030405060705424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.4
13.615.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 5.3
7190
#26
15.61.2
12.911.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
7170
#11
16.61.4
13.715.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 2.1
7158
#15
14.51.2
13.512.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Third
2444
#32
9.71.4
14.215.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End3.8
red by 1.5
5597
#27
8.21.2
8.77.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed