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Red50
511811.7
713514.0
648523.9
Blue35
717312.1
778116.4
645813.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40372025304550555035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.0
15.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End7.5
red by 7.5
7781
#10
16.40.3
10.510.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Second
14.00.0
11.211.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.4
red by 0.9
6458
#16
13.10.3
11.110.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
5118
#13
11.70.0
11.311.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 0.4
7173
#12
12.10.3
12.912.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed