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Red45
639014.7
779612.1
716920.9
Blue31
212217.7
78056.9
671911.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463420304050604531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
14.514.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 3.2
2122
#24
17.70.2
15.014.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
6390
#18
14.70.5
15.715.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 3.6
6719
#30
11.10.2
9.79.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
7796
#19
12.10.5
13.112.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
red by 5.2
7805
#35
6.90.2
7.87.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed