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Red29
55978.2
717312.1
462718.9
Blue23
716716.7
635115.4
259414.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384025303545502923

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#25
18.90.8
13.512.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
red by 2.2
7167
#17
16.71.6
12.310.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Second
7173
#12
12.10.8
13.312.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.2
blue by 3.3
15.41.6
12.210.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Third
5597
#27
8.20.8
9.58.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 5.8
2594
#21
14.11.6
13.211.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed