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Red33
462511.7
511811.7
719015.6
Blue16
148211.9
768810.5
243814.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38392025303540453316

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7190
#26
15.60.4
13.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
2438
#23
14.72.3
13.511.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Second
5118
#13
11.70.4
11.911.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
1482
#34
11.92.3
12.910.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
4625
#22
11.70.4
11.110.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
red by 1.2
7688
#28
10.52.7
10.57.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed