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Red50
145214.7
717016.6
212217.7
Blue40
259414.1
462511.7
640814.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4738203060705040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#24
17.70.6
14.415.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 2.9
6408
#20
14.80.1
14.314.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Second
7170
#11
16.60.6
16.216.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 2.6
2594
#21
14.10.1
13.513.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
1452
#14
14.70.6
14.214.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End4.1
red by 3.0
4625
#22
11.70.1
8.48.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed