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Red58
778712.0
433422.8
635115.4
Blue51
716716.7
639014.7
768810.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4535102030405060705851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.7
21.221.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End4.0
red by 6.1
7167
#17
16.72.0
14.116.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Second
15.40.6
14.114.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 0.7
6390
#18
14.71.9
12.614.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
7787
#31
12.00.6
7.68.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End3.6
red by 1.5
7688
#28
10.51.9
6.07.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed