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Red58
207329.2
586913.9
412320.2
Blue53
58510.2
153823.6
491321.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48473035404550556065705853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.8
20.421.3
Auto3.7
Teleop20.8
End4.8
red by 5.6
23.60.6
17.317.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Second
4123
#15
20.21.0
14.015.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.3
blue by 1.7
4913
#11
21.80.7
17.017.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Third
5869
#16
13.90.8
10.911.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
red by 3.8
585
#33
10.20.5
10.511.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed