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Red49
263715.9
643620.0
510217.3
Blue72
167841.3
96813.1
58917.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376220804972

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#26
20.01.5
12.714.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.7
blue by 21.3
41.30.9
37.138.0
Auto4.7
Teleop25.3
End11.3
Second
5102
#23
17.30.9
12.713.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End4.4
Level
589
#8
17.41.0
11.012.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End6.8
Third
2637
#34
15.90.9
9.810.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.2
red by 2.8
968
#21
13.11.1
10.311.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed30%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned